MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9584eafad1e1914d6e1fc9c653886c0fc9e24ad3658d88d3006e2c88f705aaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Kia Tigers, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 5,285$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.74 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kia Tigers | 55c | 1,661$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.28 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 1,628$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.05 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kia Tigers | 46c | 907.35$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.31 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Kia Tigers | 49c | 417.64$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.35 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 374.37$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.4 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 349.3$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.21 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…b36abacked Kia Tigers | 65c | 299.28$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Doosan Bears | 75c | 190.41$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 185$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Doosan Bears | 33c | 160.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 123.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 110.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Doosan Bears | 36c | 100.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…c385backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 97.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 86.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Kia Tigers | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 79.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Doosan Bears | 28c | 73.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Doosan Bears | 37c | 70.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Kia Tigers | 66c | 63.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Doosan Bears | 28c | 63.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Kia Tigers | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 59.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08dc…32bebacked Kia Tigers | 62c | 53.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Doosan Bears | 38c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 51.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 49.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kia Tigers | 46c | 48.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bf…45bdbacked Kia Tigers | 75c | 47.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 46.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 46.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 36c | 40.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Doosan Bears | 60c | 37.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Kia Tigers | 65c | 33.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…287cbacked Kia Tigers | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 30.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Doosan Bears | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Doosan Bears | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Kia Tigers | 47c | 29.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…4310backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…3fa9backed Kia Tigers | 67c | 15.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.