MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa96b898da9c9637f280d95aa4d2346c874b838960f7500032bc3be25228c11b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Angels, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Angels | 44c | 22,729$9,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,933.47 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Mariners | 63c | 10,148$6,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,755.74 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mariners | 56c | 7,197$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.55 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 58c | 5,168$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Mariners | 58c | 2,381$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Angels | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 64c | 1,217$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Mariners | 56c | 1,173$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Angels | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 55c | 930.81$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.79 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Angels | 48c | 830.81$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.79 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Angels | 41c | 749.81$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.5 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels | 43c | 711.66$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.01 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Angels | 27c | 690$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Mariners | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Mariners | 64c | 575$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.03 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Mariners | 62c | 400$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Angels | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Angels | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +206.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Angels | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…d127backed Angels | 41c | 170$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Angels | 38c | 162.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed Angels | 58c | 144.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Mariners | 57c | 132.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Angels | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Mariners | 64c | 114$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Angels | 45c | 104.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Mariners | 60c | 100.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Angels | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Mariners | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Angels | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f3…9ca0backed Angels | 43c | 91.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Mariners | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 59c | 53.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mariners | 58c | 52.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Angels | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Mariners | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Angels | 41c | 32.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Angels | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Mariners | 58c | 19.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Mariners | 57c | 17.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.