Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Secret vs Xipto Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9a2b45ebd68448a0cd3da73c5a8c6cbff4b7f5a77b7c29ec77af61c3ccab6e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secretof Team Secret, Xipto Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Xipto Esports | 33c | 1,412$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.56 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Xipto Esports | 25c | 1,169$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.45 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xipto Esports | 45c | 1,156$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.17 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…15babacked Team Secret | 54c | 923.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Team Secret | 56c | 701.25$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.9 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7e…9546backed Team Secret | 50c | 532$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Secret | 70c | 522.7$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.81 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Xipto Esports | 27c | 461.3$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…2033backed Xipto Esports | 49c | 304.27$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Xipto Esports | 23c | 225$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Secret | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Xipto Esports | 7c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Team Secret | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 84 | 81%68 W · 16 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…c604backed Xipto Esports | 53c | 144.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Secret | 46c | 107$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Team Secret | 45c | 98.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Xipto Esports | 50c | 96.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Xipto Esports | 41c | 95.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Xipto Esports | 54c | 91.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Xipto Esports | 30c | 86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Secret | 58c | 80.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Xipto Esports | 25c | 80.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Xipto Esports | 39c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Xipto Esports | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Team Secret | 69c | 59.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Secret | 77c | 37.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Xipto Esports | 55c | 33.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b109backed Xipto Esports | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +22.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Team Secret | 55c | 29.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Xipto Esports | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821b…8b2bbacked Team Secret | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Team Secret | 59c | 25.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Team Secret | 54c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Xipto Esports | 46c | 23.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…6b2fbacked Team Secret | 53c | 22.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Team Secret | 66c | 22.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Team Secret | 68c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Team Secret | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Secret vs Xipto Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Xipto Esports (+1.5)Team Secret won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-InTeam Secret won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs Xipto Esports - Map 1 WinnerTeam Secret won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.