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Tennis · resolved market

Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Ann Li

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ann Liof Alycia Parks, Ann Li
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$301,228
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$327,041

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,228 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Alycia Parks28c89,126$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00036546.8%171 W · 194 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Ann Li72c50,000$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,0001,23746.3%573 W · 664 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb399…608ebacked Ann Li71c14,163$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,163.334050%20 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Alycia Parks7c10,499$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.181,56424%376 W · 1,188 L-43.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Ann Li70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.9918050.6%91 W · 89 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Alycia Parks1c9,642$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.061,44928.4%412 W · 1,037 L+2.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x888b…5d1abacked Alycia Parks9c9,444$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.943452.9%18 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+40.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Ann Li73c6,605$4,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.531,28656.8%731 W · 555 L-16.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked Alycia Parks10c6,152$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.2111429.8%34 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0079…31c7backed Alycia Parks2c5,885$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Alycia Parks21c5,029$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.9616558.8%97 W · 68 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alycia Parks13c4,499$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.089,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Alycia Parks24c3,359$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81155141.2%227 W · 324 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f5…ab8cbacked Ann Li70c3,192$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.452339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Alycia Parks30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,49251.3%1,279 W · 1,213 L+15.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa45f…4e8dbacked Alycia Parks11c2,368$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Alycia Parks30c2,333$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70078736%283 W · 504 L+36.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd755…472fbacked Alycia Parks8c2,272$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick23cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca7…39dbbacked Alycia Parks8c2,028$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Ann Li69c2,000$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.183,35948.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L-49.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Alycia Parks30c1,635$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.6437435.3%132 W · 242 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Ann Li76c1,251$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.1744049.1%216 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Alycia Parks10c1,235$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.892,07846.7%970 W · 1,108 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Alycia Parks30c1,230$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.9937038.4%142 W · 228 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Ann Li72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28016544.8%74 W · 91 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Alycia Parks29c862$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.982,22336.9%821 W · 1,402 L+40.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c0…8ea1backed Alycia Parks10c847.4$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.742412.5%3 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeac7…1531backed Alycia Parks30c835.1$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.53825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbe…ae0ebacked Alycia Parks30c789$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.72619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Alycia Parks30c610.73$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.221,37538.3%527 W · 848 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Alycia Parks30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807,12939.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L-14.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Ann Li77c526.32$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.595,45556.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L+234.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Alycia Parks8c499.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4057144.1%252 W · 319 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Alycia Parks7c480.87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0832831.7%104 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alycia Parks19c438.49$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.638,83442.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L-169.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Alycia Parks15c438$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9760946%280 W · 329 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d98…fe98backed Alycia Parks8c437.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516234%55 W · 107 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Alycia Parks19c366.66$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.111,49643.6%652 W · 844 L-29.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Alycia Parks9c342.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3119029.5%56 W · 134 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Ann Li70c333$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.938750.4%195 W · 192 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda79…9050backed Alycia Parks8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514330.8%44 W · 99 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Ann Li69c288.4$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.429257.2%167 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Alycia Parks26c255.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7437847.1%178 W · 200 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9e…1d67backed Alycia Parks10c235$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-45.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alycia Parks12c226.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.115,04141.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L-83.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Alycia Parks10c213.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2276212.1%92 W · 670 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Ann Li76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4854039.6%214 W · 326 L+38.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed Ann Li70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4528452.1%148 W · 136 L-20.2wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…f571backed Alycia Parks29c144.83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425757.9%33 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Alycia Parks30c139$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.77,20149.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L+114.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked Ann Li70c138.29$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Alycia Parks22c131.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.894,78449.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L+177.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1691…f891backed Ann Li70c127.7$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3128267%189 W · 93 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Ann Li70c127.13$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4591350.2%458 W · 455 L-21.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…0870backed Alycia Parks8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108733.3%29 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd762…bb9ebacked Alycia Parks8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013639.7%54 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd64…6a73backed Alycia Parks8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1080%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8178…3443backed Alycia Parks8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e1…9266backed Alycia Parks8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb994…fad1backed Alycia Parks8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010634.9%37 W · 69 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c9…f4dabacked Alycia Parks28c103.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297749.4%38 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Alycia Parks16c99.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51,92244%846 W · 1,076 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Alycia Parks26c81.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.061,80047.2%849 W · 951 L-45.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Ann Li72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4431847.2%150 W · 168 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Alycia Parks30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,35228.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L-21.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8b…b723backed Alycia Parks16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Alycia Parks30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560647.5%288 W · 318 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Ann Li75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.140851.7%211 W · 197 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7954…8c27backed Alycia Parks31c39.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.25520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13b2…5486backed Ann Li70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.579377.4%72 W · 21 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cce…4b52backed Ann Li71c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5118388.5%162 W · 21 L+41.8wins+0.23per pick66cpaid+33.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.