Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Tarleton State Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa156da780fa97d6b95809ececfea8ce7a79595440ae7a23271d90deb1adef03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tarleton State Texansof Southern Utah Thunderbirds, Tarleton State Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 27c | 1,000$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.41 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 43c | 787.24$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.17 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Tarleton State Texans | 64c | 480.92$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.89 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tarleton State Texans | 40c | 453.79$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.57 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 32c | 403.25$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.59 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Tarleton State Texans | 68c | 331$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 34c | 299.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 11c | 278.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tarleton State Texans | 67c | 257.94$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tarleton State Texans | 72c | 226.34$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tarleton State Texans | 67c | 196.21$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Tarleton State Texans | 66c | 192$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tarleton State Texans | 69c | 188.82$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 48c | 184.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Tarleton State Texans | 65c | 162.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Tarleton State Texans | 77c | 160$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Tarleton State Texans | 67c | 131$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tarleton State Texans | 62c | 129.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tarleton State Texans | 65c | 126.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tarleton State Texans | 68c | 126.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Tarleton State Texans | 66c | 102.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 35c | 87.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 33c | 78.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 32c | 77.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 17c | 74.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 43c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Tarleton State Texans | 65c | 69.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Tarleton State Texans | 67c | 66.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 44c | 60.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Tarleton State Texans | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e4…e3d4backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 32c | 44.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7189backed Tarleton State Texans | 46c | 39.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 32c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 37c | 36.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 32c | 35.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Tarleton State Texans | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Tarleton State Texans | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Tarleton State Texansthis page
- Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 143.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.