Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: REIGNITE FOXX vs Fennel (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa41db406fb641191d373beba4a3907838538357959a031a5d6e14b7f60b2b8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REIGNITE FOXXof REIGNITE FOXX, Fennel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Fennel | 70c | 3,878$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.75 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed REIGNITE FOXX | 28c | 2,600$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Fennel | 72c | 1,737$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.5 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed REIGNITE FOXX | 29c | 1,380$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.8 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.45 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Fennel | 74c | 503.67$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed REIGNITE FOXX | 31c | 417.74$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed REIGNITE FOXX | 26c | 332.85$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.31 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed REIGNITE FOXX | 29c | 317.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.32 | 322 | 41.9%135 W · 187 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 27c | 299.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.98 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 28c | 299.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.98 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Fennel | 46c | 235.42$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed REIGNITE FOXX | 74c | 220$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed Fennel | 68c | 146.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…b921backed REIGNITE FOXX | 68c | 146.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Fennel | 72c | 136.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Fennel | 72c | 103.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Fennel | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Fennel | 29c | 98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 29c | 91.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Fennel | 70c | 85.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Fennel | 71c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fennel | 16c | 79.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 65c | 77.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed REIGNITE FOXX | 29c | 74.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 238 | 34%81 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…d13bbacked Fennel | 50c | 71.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed REIGNITE FOXX | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…c66dbacked Fennel | 73c | 68.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Fennel | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Fennel | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Fennel | 42c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Fennel | 34c | 62.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed REIGNITE FOXX | 29c | 61.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0d…4987backed Fennel | 69c | 56.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Fennel | 65c | 44.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…9782backed REIGNITE FOXX | 30c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fennel | 70c | 43.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked REIGNITE FOXX | 76c | 39.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Fennel | 59c | 39.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…7006backed Fennel | 72c | 37.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…f35abacked Fennel | 70c | 34.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed REIGNITE FOXX | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed Fennel | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fennel | 70c | 29.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Fennel | 70c | 26.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…8ea1backed Fennel | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed REIGNITE FOXX | 57c | 21.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed Fennel | 72c | 14.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: REIGNITE FOXX vs Fennel (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1this page
- Valorant: REIGNITE FOXX vs Fennel - Map 2 WinnerREIGNITE FOXX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.