Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Surrey vs Northamptonshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa832dac045b3949e70c72524839c1f4a68c4e2ad39c62173dbae7434d2afd78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Surreyof Surrey, Northamptonshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Northamptonshire | 52c | 909.43$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.45 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Surrey | 48c | 756.21$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.14 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Surrey | 52c | 320$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.85 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northamptonshire | 12c | 279.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Northamptonshire | 18c | 270.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Northamptonshire | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Northamptonshire | 48c | 133.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Surrey | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Surrey | 67c | 118.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Northamptonshire | 17c | 114.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Surrey | 69c | 108.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Northamptonshire | 43c | 105.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 385 | 44.4%171 W · 214 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Surrey | 60c | 90.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Northamptonshire | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Northamptonshire | 50c | 82.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Surrey | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Surrey | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Surrey | 49c | 67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 502 | 47.4%238 W · 264 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Northamptonshire | 45c | 66.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…9b77backed Northamptonshire | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Surrey | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Surrey | 75c | 49.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 318 | 39.9%127 W · 191 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Northamptonshire | 46c | 43.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Northamptonshire | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Northamptonshire | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa158…acacbacked Surrey | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Surrey | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Northamptonshire | 43c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Northamptonshire | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6953…85b8backed Northamptonshire | 49c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…19f6backed Surrey | 50c | 22.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Northamptonshire | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.