Tennis · resolved market
Asuncion 2: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaab55037b9163f1f285721c23ce5edda9d6ede220b88fb841bffb6ac196e52c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogiof Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi, Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 24c | 4,188$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.08 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 35c | 2,073$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.87 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 68c | 1,898$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.27 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 74c | 1,319$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.41 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 22c | 1,000$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.34 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 41c | 847.04$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.15 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 10c | 761.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 309 | 25.9%80 W · 229 L | -29.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 25c | 642.55$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.64 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 34c | 522.29$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.58 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 15c | 424.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 33c | 405.85$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.93 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 70c | 360.35$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 70c | 337.06$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 64c | 333.85$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…929fbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 6c | 333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 70c | 313.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 9c | 260.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 67c | 230$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 5c | 225$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 63c | 218.03$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 533 | 43%229 W · 304 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 73c | 197.68$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 402 | 54.5%219 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 32c | 186.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 28c | 178.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 7c | 163.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 69c | 149.03$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 581 | 45.8%266 W · 315 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 77c | 141.06$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 403 | 60.8%245 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 72c | 134.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 76c | 131.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 30c | 129.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 41c | 116.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 75c | 107.76$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d92…48e4backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 31c | 89.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 25c | 56.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 62c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 76c | 39.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 70c | 37.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 33c | 36.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 77c | 34.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 30c | 34.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 67c | 31.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 568 | 48.9%278 W · 290 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 70c | 30.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 595 | 65.4%389 W · 206 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 70c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 38c | 27.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 64c | 27.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 41c | 25.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 65c | 22.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 63c | 19.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 372 | 53.8%200 W · 172 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Asuncion 2: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Santiago Rodriguez Tavernathis page
- Set Handicap: Ambrogi (-1.5) vs Taverna (+1.5)Ambrogi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.