TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,270
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,925

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,270 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over72c1,147$824 inWon+$323.041,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under26c900.23$230 inLost-$229.892,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under29c844.1$245 inLost-$244.791546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over78c769.31$600 inWon+$169.4555845%251 W · 307 L+2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under22c534.01$119 inLost-$119.12,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over76c440.82$335 inWon+$105.83375.8%25 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over77c434.78$335 inWon+$10043344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05fe…358bbacked Under23c434.78$100 inLost-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over79c379.83$300 inWon+$79.835554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under21c206.33$43 inLost-$43.332,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over71c181.5$129 inWon+$52.781440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under21c153.67$32 inLost-$32.3696947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over76c122.86$93 inWon+$29.491181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under24c60.05$14 inLost-$14.2135146.2%162 W · 189 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over77c33.17$25 inWon+$7.781,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Over79c18.99$15 inWon+$3.996657.6%38 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed Over80c12.52$10 inWon+$2.511860.2%71 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.