Europa Conference League · resolved market
Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd65e3cf2b96a2b7c89c53d2caf62a71f492f9b7ab1fda295a37a8e23385265d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 6,078$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.86 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 3c | 4,215$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.07 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 78c | 2,684$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.23 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 52c | 2,285$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.17 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 11c | 1,580$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.39 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 22c | 1,566$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.75 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 56c | 1,346$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.7 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 1,305$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.52 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 60c | 1,298$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.04 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 80c | 954.39$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.43 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 14c | 927.33$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.74 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 76c | 736.75$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.83 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 80c | 626.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…5297backed Over | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 34c | 572.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.94 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 55c | 542.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 527$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.57 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 54c | 515.24$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.02 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 60c | 500.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.24 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 56c | 446$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 21c | 351.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.84 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 66c | 316.29$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.75 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 13c | 254.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 56c | 254.28$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…358bbacked Under | 46c | 216.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 52c | 212.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 19c | 154.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 44c | 144.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…0322backed Over | 48c | 112.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 106.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…bcbdbacked Under | 45c | 95.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 33c | 94.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 55c | 89.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 57c | 62.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 26c | 62.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 26c | 62.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 50c | 60.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…a0b1backed Under | 69c | 58.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 44c | 54.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 44c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 75c | 39.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Under | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 34.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 56c | 33.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 55c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 44c | 24.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 53c | 23.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 62c | 21.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ca3ebacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: O/U 2.5this page
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: FK CSKA 1948 Sofia O/U 0.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: FK CSKA 1948 Sofia O/U 1.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: FK CSKA 1948 Sofia O/U 2.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: Panathinaikós AO O/U 1.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: Panathinaikós AO O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)FK CSKA 1948 Sofia won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-2.5)FK CSKA 1948 Sofia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.