Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23acd2df46f8bd22100c1ff4635e3ae4b5126e7997b912cdb4591e70ee05d191
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK CSKA 1948 Sofiaof Panathinaikós AO, FK CSKA 1948 Sofia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 51c | 19,642$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,641.72 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panathinaikós AO | 49c | 8,185$3,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.76 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Panathinaikós AO | 50c | 2,499$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.24 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Panathinaikós AO | 28c | 2,110$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.5 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 72c | 1,570$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.55 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Panathinaikós AO | 49c | 1,535$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.15 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Panathinaikós AO | 50c | 1,535$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.15 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Panathinaikós AO | 50c | 1,445$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.61 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 50c | 1,084$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.6 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Panathinaikós AO | 40c | 1,041$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.72 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Panathinaikós AO | 49c | 1,011$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.39 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Panathinaikós AO | 54c | 945.82$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.12 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Panathinaikós AO | 49c | 631.66$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.51 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Panathinaikós AO | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Panathinaikós AO | 50c | 611.58$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.87 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Panathinaikós AO | 49c | 488$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.3 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 47c | 232.83$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.4 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 46c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Panathinaikós AO | 49c | 162.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Panathinaikós AO | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Panathinaikós AO | 51c | 138.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 48c | 137$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Panathinaikós AO | 54c | 118.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Panathinaikós AO | 48c | 111.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 47c | 103.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 52c | 102.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Panathinaikós AO | 56c | 95.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 72c | 86.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 72c | 86.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 72c | 86.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Panathinaikós AO | 50c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 42c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Panathinaikós AO | 53c | 70.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 72c | 55.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 73c | 51.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Panathinaikós AO | 48c | 43.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Panathinaikós AO | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 72c | 34.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 73c | 34.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…10f6backed Panathinaikós AO | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Panathinaikós AO | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Panathinaikós AO | 58c | 25.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Panathinaikós AO | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 72c | 22.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 73c | 17.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed FK CSKA 1948 Sofia | 73c | 16.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)this page
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: FK CSKA 1948 Sofia O/U 0.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: FK CSKA 1948 Sofia O/U 1.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: FK CSKA 1948 Sofia O/U 2.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: Panathinaikós AO O/U 1.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: Panathinaikós AO O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-2.5)FK CSKA 1948 Sofia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.