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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,625 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes38c613.63$231 inWon+$382.7865943.9%289 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No62c537.32$332 inLost-$332.023,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes40c465.76$186 inWon+$279.911,10445.4%501 W · 603 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No60c300$180 inLost-$18077855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes35c260.66$91 inWon+$169.791,31950.8%670 W · 649 L+33.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No5c249.99$11 inLost-$11.583733%276 W · 561 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No64c248.46$159 inLost-$158.92,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked No63c238.1$150 inLost-$1509652.1%50 W · 46 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes38c205.13$77 inWon+$128.131,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes39c85$33 inWon+$51.851,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No60c81.57$49 inLost-$48.9489153.4%476 W · 415 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…ac08backed Yes38c76.5$29 inWon+$47.431361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa54e…bdf1backed Yes38c76.47$29 inWon+$47.41875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No60c63.18$38 inLost-$37.9142957.1%245 W · 184 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No63c61.29$38 inLost-$38.3165549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes54c59$32 inWon+$27.378870.5%62 W · 26 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes34c49.04$17 inWon+$32.3732636.5%119 W · 207 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes38c42.63$16 inWon+$26.4389648.2%432 W · 464 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed No62c42.47$26 inLost-$26.333951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2809…0b89backed Yes38c36.84$14 inWon+$22.845554.5%30 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed No66c17.58$12 inLost-$11.63354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.