Tennis · resolved market
Bratislava: Norbert Gombos vs Jan Choinski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaec55bdb2d42c48d18dac06211937beb9c9b2dcf6e0e86ed3a9d81855d3e397
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jan Choinskiof Norbert Gombos, Jan Choinski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Norbert Gombos | 4c | 5,756$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.25 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Norbert Gombos | 11c | 5,045$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.75 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Norbert Gombos | 27c | 3,315$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.93 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Norbert Gombos | 4c | 3,159$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.19 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jan Choinski | 73c | 2,947$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.76 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Norbert Gombos | 3c | 2,592$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jan Choinski | 76c | 1,683$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.3 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Norbert Gombos | 12c | 1,450$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.55 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Norbert Gombos | 9c | 1,207$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Norbert Gombos | 29c | 1,055$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.03 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Norbert Gombos | 9c | 1,043$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Norbert Gombos | 2c | 755$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Norbert Gombos | 12c | 417.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Jan Choinski | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Norbert Gombos | 19c | 361.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Jan Choinski | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Jan Choinski | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Jan Choinski | 75c | 204.3$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Norbert Gombos | 10c | 203.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Norbert Gombos | 26c | 201.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Norbert Gombos | 28c | 166.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Jan Choinski | 71c | 141$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Norbert Gombos | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Norbert Gombos | 25c | 139.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Jan Choinski | 71c | 138.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Jan Choinski | 74c | 135.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Jan Choinski | 77c | 99.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 362 | 64.6%234 W · 128 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Norbert Gombos | 29c | 99.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Jan Choinski | 67c | 85.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Norbert Gombos | 20c | 77.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Jan Choinski | 72c | 75.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Norbert Gombos | 17c | 69.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Norbert Gombos | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Norbert Gombos | 25c | 62.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Norbert Gombos | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Jan Choinski | 71c | 55.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Jan Choinski | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Norbert Gombos | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Jan Choinski | 71c | 39.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jan Choinski | 73c | 36.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Jan Choinski | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Jan Choinski | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Jan Choinski | 74c | 26.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38b1…6322backed Jan Choinski | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Jan Choinski | 70c | 25.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…5bf4backed Jan Choinski | 75c | 22.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Jan Choinski | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Jan Choinski | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.