Tennis · resolved market
Kigali: Marco Cecchinato vs Aziz Ouakaa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab362f7e60788672a2312f58f9b3d484b5a3b2badaf01db5f2d422842206b0b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marco Cecchinatoof Marco Cecchinato, Aziz Ouakaa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Aziz Ouakaa | 12c | 4,737$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Aziz Ouakaa | 6c | 3,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4686…4d0ebacked Aziz Ouakaa | 10c | 1,345$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Aziz Ouakaa | 10c | 1,038$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Aziz Ouakaa | 15c | 949.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.59 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…acecbacked Aziz Ouakaa | 10c | 916$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Aziz Ouakaa | 11c | 915.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Aziz Ouakaa | 6c | 643.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Aziz Ouakaa | 10c | 521.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Aziz Ouakaa | 12c | 508.69$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Aziz Ouakaa | 14c | 481.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Aziz Ouakaa | 17c | 391$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Aziz Ouakaa | 31c | 382.1$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.37 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aziz Ouakaa | 10c | 370.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Aziz Ouakaa | 11c | 343.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Aziz Ouakaa | 23c | 335.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Aziz Ouakaa | 31c | 322.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Aziz Ouakaa | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Aziz Ouakaa | 16c | 252$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Aziz Ouakaa | 14c | 242$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Aziz Ouakaa | 10c | 230$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Aziz Ouakaa | 18c | 228.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Aziz Ouakaa | 6c | 219.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Aziz Ouakaa | 6c | 215.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Aziz Ouakaa | 9c | 211.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 87 | 24.1%21 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aziz Ouakaa | 8c | 196.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marco Cecchinato | 77c | 188.65$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Aziz Ouakaa | 10c | 187$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Aziz Ouakaa | 14c | 155$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Aziz Ouakaa | 12c | 118.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Aziz Ouakaa | 11c | 106$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Aziz Ouakaa | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Aziz Ouakaa | 19c | 101$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e08…3bd4backed Aziz Ouakaa | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Aziz Ouakaa | 22c | 95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Aziz Ouakaa | 18c | 85.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Aziz Ouakaa | 14c | 81.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Aziz Ouakaa | 15c | 79.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Aziz Ouakaa | 19c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Aziz Ouakaa | 24c | 42.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Marco Cecchinato | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kigali: Marco Cecchinato vs Aziz Ouakaathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Cecchinato vs OuakaaCecchinato won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.