Mls · resolved market
Will Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab3920ed39b5b8ea563816a48366e992ba19c2131858ad1e467547cf9f39c9eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,077$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 987.82$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.47 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 28c | 826.97$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.55 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 670.28$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.69 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 480.26$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 72c | 456.36$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 79c | 424$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed No | 78c | 424$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.17 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 29c | 344.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 295.24$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 223.17$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 76c | 217.28$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 30c | 203$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 73c | 193.73$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…09a8backed Yes | 15c | 191.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 27c | 186.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 27c | 185.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 73c | 136.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996b…abf7backed Yes | 22c | 106.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 102.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 72c | 94.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 78c | 87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 74c | 78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 26c | 77.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…31b4backed Yes | 27c | 71.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 23c | 69.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 22c | 57.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 29c | 57.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed No | 78c | 45.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 44.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 71c | 31.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 74c | 28.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 72c | 19.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe94…b9cdbacked No | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-13?No won
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.