TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mexican Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bellucciof Bellucci, Fokina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4b9f…e125backed Fokina47c20,786$9,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,846.925644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bellucci45c9,424$4,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,170.312,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Fokina58c7,200$4,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20594355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Fokina40c3,411$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.142,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Fokina34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bellucci19c2,764$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.7176140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Bellucci48c2,594$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.86,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fokina63c2,009$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.857,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bellucci67c1,731$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.2365647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Fokina69c1,277$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.2965157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Bellucci19c1,250$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.861,43728.5%409 W · 1,028 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Bellucci18c1,242$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.5722033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Bellucci19c1,233$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.7176546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Fokina38c1,165$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4421,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Bellucci65c1,141$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.725451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Bellucci66c1,076$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.7424844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Fokina68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68020554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Bellucci16c976.94$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.6318447.3%87 W · 97 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bellucci59c975.33$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.892,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Fokina79c957.99$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.8187251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Bellucci62c927.85$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.181349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Fokina40c890$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.388555.3%47 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bellucci21c821$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.5921338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Fokina79c799.99$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.994562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed Bellucci52c762.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.245242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Bellucci52c720$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.6669249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Fokina19c651.87$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.631,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Fokina61c635.13$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.4317462.6%109 W · 65 L+34.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bellucci19c592.01$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.281,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bellucci20c574.63$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.071,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Fokina49c555.2$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.346,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Bellucci21c500$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39525244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fokina79c447.81$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.996,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Bellucci49c404.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.334837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2088…f932backed Bellucci19c385$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+128.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Bellucci20c382.7$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.162520%5 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Fokina49c321$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2123847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Fokina65c305.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Bellucci20c300.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.418133.1%60 W · 121 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Bellucci62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11413560.7%82 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Bellucci38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1650364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Bellucci19c263.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.151,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34d8…7cbabacked Bellucci20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.46per pick21cpaid+298.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Fokina80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20059165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Bellucci19c224.07$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.569051.2%353 W · 337 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b4…150ebacked Bellucci67c214.93$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9314947%70 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Fokina80c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16032050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Fokina80c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16017863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Fokina55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Fokina43c176.74$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7669350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Bellucci72c174.06$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.741,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Bellucci19c164.87$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.991,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e6c…1c75backed Fokina69c160.42$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.697374%54 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Fokina69c159.85$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Fokina63c159.73$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6375061.7%463 W · 287 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Bellucci64c157$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.524,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Fokina60c152.84$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.562,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…319bbacked Fokina68c144.76$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.443839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Bellucci60c141.88$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0861953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Fokina42c139$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.051,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Bellucci21c128.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2842046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Fokina68c122.06$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8312664.3%81 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Fokina43c110$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.321346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Bellucci20c109$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.21,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Fokina36c101.09$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.853,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Fokina79c100.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7346649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Bellucci19c100.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.953,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Fokina80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8077967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Fokina80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8058753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Fokina42c98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8213647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Bellucci34c97.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5768026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Fokina57c87.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Bellucci31c80.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.659938.4%38 W · 61 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Fokina79c63.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Fokina80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010059%59 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12e…27c2backed Fokina80c60.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.171145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Bellucci53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.31,90444.1%839 W · 1,065 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Bellucci43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1412154.5%66 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Fokina79c51.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9553058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ac…806ebacked Fokina80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013658.8%80 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8425…b8f9backed Bellucci20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Fokina57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7df…27cdbacked Fokina30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f9…0975backed Bellucci28c39.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.311931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c13…ed5bbacked Fokina40c37.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…5d44backed Bellucci43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.885514.5%8 W · 47 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Fokina67c31.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9111651.7%60 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Bellucci79c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5899044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Fokina45c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.427546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Fokina65c26.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1630254.3%164 W · 138 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa3…5d5cbacked Fokina57c24.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.951637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Fokina78c23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9429947.5%142 W · 157 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7585…25f0backed Bellucci65c22.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.711154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Fokina79c22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.477,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x734e…88e5backed Fokina80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610162.4%63 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5e…e0f7backed Fokina57c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8327552%143 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Fokina80c18.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513650%68 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Fokina61c18.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3253752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e5…e2a2backed Fokina60c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.219762.9%124 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Fokina66c16.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1517762.7%111 W · 66 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.