Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab87e8cf597ee4d460f2975d60c4a75428e397837342a0c1f9b4bd90f90357a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof Spirit Academy, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PuckChamp | 29c | 3,819$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.21 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Spirit Academy | 72c | 1,877$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.47 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spirit Academy | 72c | 1,378$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.84 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked PuckChamp | 18c | 699.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PuckChamp | 33c | 590.92$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.27 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…7442backed PuckChamp | 34c | 529.4$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Spirit Academy | 70c | 501.54$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.2 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Spirit Academy | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…6929backed Spirit Academy | 66c | 474.13$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.26 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PuckChamp | 26c | 447.12$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.63 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Spirit Academy | 65c | 350.58$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Spirit Academy | 70c | 298.9$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Spirit Academy | 66c | 245.51$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Spirit Academy | 66c | 238.78$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Spirit Academy | 74c | 176.61$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Spirit Academy | 74c | 171.15$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Spirit Academy | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed PuckChamp | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Spirit Academy | 68c | 140.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spirit Academy | 70c | 137.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed PuckChamp | 34c | 123.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Spirit Academy | 80c | 121.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Spirit Academy | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed PuckChamp | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit Academy | 79c | 87.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…89acbacked Spirit Academy | 68c | 84.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked Spirit Academy | 65c | 83.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…2dc2backed Spirit Academy | 68c | 73.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed PuckChamp | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…2c2ebacked PuckChamp | 35c | 56.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Spirit Academy | 74c | 53.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Spirit Academy | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…b585backed PuckChamp | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Spirit Academy | 66c | 48.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed PuckChamp | 29c | 43.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Spirit Academy | 66c | 41.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed PuckChamp | 30c | 40.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked Spirit Academy | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Spirit Academy | 78c | 36.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Spirit Academy | 56c | 35.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Spirit Academy | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Spirit Academy | 64c | 23.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Spirit Academy | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Spirit Academy | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Spirit Academy | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Spirit Academy | 74c | 18.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Spirit Academy | 78c | 15.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Spirit Academy | 72c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e59…a02cbacked Spirit Academy | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group ASpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs PuckChamp - Game 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.