Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x223ca990a03e20b9bde396f8df3fdb45d8e5cc526c403f23160ca7c528f38d4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof Spirit Academy, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6752…5977backed PuckChamp | 1c | 2,403$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Spirit Academy | 71c | 1,199$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.68 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 789.71$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 516.3$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.29 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4260…7c04backed PuckChamp | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked PuckChamp | 33c | 408.77$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked PuckChamp | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed PuckChamp | 25c | 382.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Spirit Academy | 62c | 348.96$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed PuckChamp | 30c | 332.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked PuckChamp | 38c | 326.32$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Spirit Academy | 68c | 264.45$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed PuckChamp | 17c | 261.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked PuckChamp | 39c | 251.77$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed PuckChamp | 12c | 240.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…c94abacked PuckChamp | 45c | 224.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked PuckChamp | 38c | 220.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.89 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Spirit Academy | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked PuckChamp | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed PuckChamp | 18c | 161.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed PuckChamp | 37c | 158.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed PuckChamp | 11c | 146.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Spirit Academy | 68c | 146.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked PuckChamp | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked PuckChamp | 38c | 126.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Spirit Academy | 79c | 125.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed PuckChamp | 39c | 123.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed PuckChamp | 39c | 118.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed PuckChamp | 9c | 117.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…c9eabacked PuckChamp | 36c | 110.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec00…4dbebacked Spirit Academy | 62c | 109.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…7596backed PuckChamp | 39c | 105.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed PuckChamp | 16c | 100.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked PuckChamp | 45c | 99.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked PuckChamp | 34c | 83.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Spirit Academy | 71c | 79.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked PuckChamp | 37c | 74.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed PuckChamp | 39c | 72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed PuckChamp | 43c | 69.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked PuckChamp | 31c | 69.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Spirit Academy | 69c | 64.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 59.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Spirit Academy | 62c | 59.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Spirit Academy | 63c | 55.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed PuckChamp | 37c | 53.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…c1c4backed PuckChamp | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed PuckChamp | 40c | 47.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PuckChamp | 24c | 42.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked PuckChamp | 31c | 42.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Spirit Academy | 67c | 39.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed PuckChamp | 39c | 36.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd998…397abacked Spirit Academy | 69c | 33.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed PuckChamp | 38c | 32.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed PuckChamp | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Spirit Academy | 71c | 21.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Spirit Academy | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Spirit Academy | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Spirit Academy | 69c | 18.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Spirit Academy | 68c | 14.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs PuckChamp - Game 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs PuckChamp - Game 2 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.