Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab9df46795e8f814f75a70b7123dadc46aca42299008b36ce71b0b019acd4ba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Peter's Peacocksof Manhattan Jaspers, Saint Peter's Peacocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 77c | 1,421$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.59 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Manhattan Jaspers | 26c | 660.45$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.42 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Manhattan Jaspers | 2c | 495.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 16c | 477.07$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 23c | 448.32$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.11 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 77c | 440.27$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.84 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Manhattan Jaspers | 23c | 430.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Manhattan Jaspers | 5c | 325.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Manhattan Jaspers | 23c | 322.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Manhattan Jaspers | 24c | 298.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Manhattan Jaspers | 5c | 249.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Manhattan Jaspers | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 23c | 198.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 77c | 176.9$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…d5a7backed Manhattan Jaspers | 24c | 149.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Manhattan Jaspers | 10c | 148.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 77c | 138.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 76c | 130.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Manhattan Jaspers | 24c | 120.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Manhattan Jaspers | 24c | 120.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 76c | 97.17$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…7f24backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 78c | 91.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Manhattan Jaspers | 23c | 84.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 77c | 78.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 77c | 72.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Manhattan Jaspers | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Manhattan Jaspers | 24c | 59.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 24c | 47.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 77c | 38.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 78c | 38.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 78c | 31.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 76c | 22.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 70c | 16.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 74c | 13.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Saint Peter's Peacocksthis page
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.