CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaba76847404462b719d12f96ec63bc6caaed823870cdbcdb9ce36ec026175711
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wanted Goonsof F5 Esports, Wanted Goons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked F5 Esports | 20c | 3,114$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.61 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Wanted Goons | 79c | 2,428$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.52 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Wanted Goons | 76c | 1,879$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.11 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed F5 Esports | 28c | 1,755$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.24 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed F5 Esports | 18c | 1,600$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed Wanted Goons | 73c | 1,369$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.93 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked F5 Esports | 30c | 1,114$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.5 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed F5 Esports | 17c | 563.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed F5 Esports | 54c | 539.99$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed F5 Esports | 3c | 499.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed F5 Esports | 34c | 398.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Wanted Goons | 75c | 333.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed F5 Esports | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked F5 Esports | 29c | 263.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked F5 Esports | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 434 | 37.6%163 W · 271 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked F5 Esports | 23c | 243.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked F5 Esports | 34c | 210.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Wanted Goons | 46c | 208.1$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.37 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…0201backed F5 Esports | 17c | 135$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed F5 Esports | 19c | 126.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed F5 Esports | 27c | 124.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed F5 Esports | 18c | 122.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked F5 Esports | 17c | 122.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Wanted Goons | 56c | 122.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed F5 Esports | 44c | 122.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Wanted Goons | 46c | 113.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…4084backed Wanted Goons | 46c | 93.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…f184backed F5 Esports | 45c | 88.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Wanted Goons | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked F5 Esports | 22c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…48efbacked F5 Esports | 47c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed F5 Esports | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Wanted Goons | 51c | 46.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Wanted Goons | 73c | 44.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Wanted Goons | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Wanted Goons | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed F5 Esports | 31c | 36.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad2…395abacked Wanted Goons | 79c | 34.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Wanted Goons | 68c | 33.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked F5 Esports | 45c | 30.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Wanted Goons | 73c | 24.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 504 | 56.5%285 W · 219 L | +17.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed F5 Esports | 63c | 20.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Wanted Goons | 79c | 18.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Wanted Goons | 62c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Wanted Goons | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League PlayoffsWanted Goons won
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 WinnerF5 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.