CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5212ddd62d49b1500014f22d5714f4779fcf51c389588b766afb7ec3c687d4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- F5 Esportsof F5 Esports, Wanted Goons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Wanted Goons | 1c | 5,673$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked F5 Esports | 53c | 4,209$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.29 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wanted Goons | 47c | 3,680$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.34 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed F5 Esports | 62c | 3,430$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.48 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Wanted Goons | 43c | 2,329$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.64 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Wanted Goons | 45c | 1,210$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.03 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Wanted Goons | 36c | 888$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.72 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…ba84backed F5 Esports | 70c | 810$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.75 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Wanted Goons | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Wanted Goons | 40c | 453.48$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.14 | 503 | 41.6%209 W · 294 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Wanted Goons | 51c | 451.55$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.23 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked F5 Esports | 54c | 404.24$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.26 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed F5 Esports | 75c | 401.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Wanted Goons | 50c | 339.84$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.02 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked F5 Esports | 61c | 330.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.16 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wanted Goons | 39c | 314.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Wanted Goons | 46c | 312.14$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Wanted Goons | 38c | 308$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked F5 Esports | 49c | 277.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed F5 Esports | 56c | 270$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed F5 Esports | 56c | 210.27$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Wanted Goons | 42c | 199.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Wanted Goons | 37c | 196.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Wanted Goons | 47c | 172.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed F5 Esports | 59c | 170.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Wanted Goons | 34c | 125.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Wanted Goons | 56c | 122.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed F5 Esports | 44c | 122.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked F5 Esports | 54c | 119.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed F5 Esports | 53c | 118.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…b6f9backed F5 Esports | 75c | 111.27$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Wanted Goons | 58c | 106.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked F5 Esports | 78c | 102.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 382 | 59.7%228 W · 154 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wanted Goons | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Wanted Goons | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Wanted Goons | 56c | 99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…059ebacked F5 Esports | 48c | 94.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…26f6backed Wanted Goons | 52c | 80.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Wanted Goons | 40c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…48efbacked F5 Esports | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Wanted Goons | 28c | 61.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Wanted Goons | 62c | 61.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Wanted Goons | 42c | 55.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Wanted Goons | 48c | 52.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wanted Goons | 55c | 40.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Wanted Goons | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Wanted Goons | 38c | 33.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked F5 Esports | 40c | 33.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Wanted Goons | 44c | 32.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed F5 Esports | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 504 | 56.5%285 W · 219 L | +17.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…e6b9backed Wanted Goons | 46c | 30.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8256…3e45backed F5 Esports | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked F5 Esports | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked F5 Esports | 50c | 20.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 861 | 54.1%466 W · 395 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League PlayoffsWanted Goons won
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 WinnerWanted Goons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.