AI · resolved market
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac265bd6d6f62b4891b3d8a6942cbc0e1b4bc44fdc9f7b5e689d17127af6782f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,736,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,736,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49ab…49a0backed Yes | 0c | 80,750$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f83…ec29backed Yes | 0c | 80,360$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff78…e3a7backed Yes | 0c | 80,100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba33…5405backed Yes | 0c | 79,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…99febacked Yes | 0c | 76,050$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…fc6dbacked Yes | 0c | 69,800$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…ccd4backed Yes | 0c | 68,380$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5640…2846backed Yes | 0c | 68,150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…f92fbacked Yes | 0c | 68,040$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ff…6186backed Yes | 0c | 67,690$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee8…1529backed Yes | 0c | 67,690$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f3…d459backed Yes | 0c | 67,620$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…4905backed Yes | 0c | 67,620$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…f15dbacked Yes | 0c | 67,560$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7230…bfdcbacked Yes | 0c | 67,330$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…04d6backed Yes | 0c | 67,250$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x911a…0582backed Yes | 0c | 67,240$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…7297backed Yes | 0c | 66,730$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…27b7backed Yes | 0c | 66,420$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf994…d35ebacked Yes | 0c | 66,270$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3165…3160backed Yes | 0c | 66,240$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eab…697dbacked Yes | 0c | 65,330$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…772bbacked Yes | 0c | 65,240$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…c53ebacked Yes | 0c | 64,961$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…e9b5backed Yes | 0c | 64,450$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f75…3e42backed Yes | 0c | 57,420$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be2…e644backed Yes | 0c | 57,170$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…90d1backed Yes | 0c | 57,090$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12cf…edd0backed Yes | 0c | 56,830$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…9a99backed Yes | 0c | 56,630$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0a…b8cebacked Yes | 0c | 56,470$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a2…eefcbacked Yes | 0c | 56,180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…ec6dbacked Yes | 0c | 56,060$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ec…24c0backed Yes | 0c | 55,830$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e5…aa90backed Yes | 0c | 55,810$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…c254backed Yes | 0c | 55,740$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedee…ea11backed Yes | 0c | 55,550$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b4…22c2backed Yes | 0c | 55,410$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…562cbacked Yes | 0c | 55,380$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…6160backed Yes | 0c | 55,330$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f667backed Yes | 0c | 55,310$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…1d09backed Yes | 0c | 55,310$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…91e0backed Yes | 0c | 54,670$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…df56backed Yes | 0c | 54,510$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0a…ae00backed Yes | 0c | 54,400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…7356backed Yes | 0c | 54,140$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x697a…e819backed Yes | 0c | 54,100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…7a86backed Yes | 0c | 53,460$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c50…efc9backed Yes | 0c | 53,100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…4a55backed Yes | 0c | 52,500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4763…731bbacked Yes | 0c | 52,300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…ce17backed Yes | 0c | 52,280$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…01e6backed Yes | 0c | 52,100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e9…e9ddbacked Yes | 0c | 50,590$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…a7a2backed Yes | 0c | 46,990$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…c8f8backed Yes | 0c | 44,740$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805d…a89bbacked Yes | 0c | 44,660$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdb…5d59backed Yes | 0c | 42,590$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…f604backed Yes | 0c | 42,490$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…a247backed Yes | 0c | 42,440$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…6ba3backed Yes | 0c | 42,430$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c52…630bbacked Yes | 0c | 42,410$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3a…dacfbacked Yes | 0c | 42,340$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f36…324fbacked Yes | 0c | 42,310$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…b7e9backed Yes | 0c | 42,300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe3…bb47backed Yes | 0c | 42,300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45aa…0d76backed Yes | 0c | 42,280$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda7a…414abacked Yes | 0c | 42,280$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b86…5d08backed Yes | 0c | 42,230$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…6ca6backed Yes | 0c | 42,220$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…a144backed Yes | 0c | 42,190$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2322…3197backed Yes | 0c | 42,180$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec6…aa22backed Yes | 0c | 42,180$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…7875backed Yes | 0c | 42,170$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1b…7c9fbacked Yes | 0c | 42,170$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeed…244cbacked Yes | 0c | 42,150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…83a7backed Yes | 0c | 42,140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…4eb1backed Yes | 0c | 42,100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8b…ecd1backed Yes | 0c | 42,080$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c11…0341backed Yes | 0c | 42,060$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…343cbacked Yes | 0c | 42,050$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c69…665fbacked Yes | 0c | 42,050$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe165…2d4dbacked Yes | 0c | 42,040$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970b…e5efbacked Yes | 0c | 42,030$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…8606backed Yes | 0c | 42,030$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f93…fd2fbacked Yes | 0c | 42,020$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c9d7backed Yes | 0c | 42,020$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…fed0backed Yes | 0c | 42,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…198abacked Yes | 0c | 41,980$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee1…56a6backed Yes | 0c | 41,970$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8e…0034backed Yes | 0c | 41,960$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1783…e1e9backed Yes | 0c | 41,950$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…f7f7backed Yes | 0c | 41,950$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…9e7fbacked Yes | 0c | 41,940$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc0…b2e5backed Yes | 0c | 41,940$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2da…28cfbacked Yes | 0c | 41,920$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…3503backed Yes | 0c | 41,890$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be0…5754backed Yes | 0c | 41,890$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…b672backed Yes | 0c | 41,880$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b5…7150backed Yes | 0c | 41,880$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?this page
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No won
- Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No won
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes won
- Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No won
- Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No won
- Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.