Premier League · resolved market
Watford FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac2dbc0087fd699cbb985f8f7554008f0a993d11146da959198f8f14aa0fc5ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 38c | 676.74$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 63c | 641.92$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.09 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 59c | 487.8$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 42c | 407.14$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Under | 30c | 333.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 39c | 298.4$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 266.13$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 16c | 238$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 207.87$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 204.33$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Over | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 71c | 148$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 68c | 146.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 58c | 97.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Over | 53c | 93.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 58c | 92.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 62c | 85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Under | 32c | 83.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c74…14a4backed Under | 37c | 71.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 62c | 61.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 40c | 51.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Over | 59c | 27.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 27.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 64c | 22.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 56c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Watford FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Watford FC (-2.5)Coventry City FC won
- Watford FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Watford FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Watford FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Watford FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.