Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Alessandro Bellifemine vs Dimitar Kisimov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac35ee267895b73e0ed7d37fd5c51ffb82fc0ef08a13271b533273feceb7d0be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alessandro Bellifemineof Alessandro Bellifemine, Dimitar Kisimov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dimitar Kisimov | 57c | 450$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…94edbacked Alessandro Bellifemine | 46c | 289.13$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c5…5ad1backed Dimitar Kisimov | 36c | 278.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alessandro Bellifemine | 56c | 252.12$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.19 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dimitar Kisimov | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alessandro Bellifemine | 52c | 190.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Alessandro Bellifemine | 42c | 183.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alessandro Bellifemine | 45c | 165.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alessandro Bellifemine | 75c | 151.17$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Dimitar Kisimov | 58c | 149.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…7f0cbacked Dimitar Kisimov | 31c | 116.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Dimitar Kisimov | 55c | 106.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Dimitar Kisimov | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…4b80backed Dimitar Kisimov | 29c | 94.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed Alessandro Bellifemine | 40c | 92.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Dimitar Kisimov | 59c | 89.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dimitar Kisimov | 60c | 85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Dimitar Kisimov | 54c | 80.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Alessandro Bellifemine | 41c | 74.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alessandro Bellifemine | 75c | 73.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Dimitar Kisimov | 56c | 53.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…a298backed Alessandro Bellifemine | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Alessandro Bellifemine | 45c | 34.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10be…1c36backed Alessandro Bellifemine | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Dimitar Kisimov | 57c | 26.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Dimitar Kisimov | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Dimitar Kisimov | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Alessandro Bellifemine | 75c | 16.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.