NHL · resolved market
SHL: Luleaa vs. Skellefteaa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac40d9f1bdb64bd5cbf310f4d62274b63aed2eff1bf2d2a5e1bc911b576269a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luleaaof Luleaa, Skellefteaa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Skellefteaa | 59c | 950.98$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.63 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Skellefteaa | 76c | 374.04$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.9 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb314…3f10backed Luleaa | 40c | 366.03$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Luleaa | 45c | 252.83$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Luleaa | 41c | 243.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.42 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Luleaa | 41c | 182.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.7 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Skellefteaa | 29c | 153.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed Luleaa | 41c | 141.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Luleaa | 48c | 132.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Luleaa | 41c | 112.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Luleaa | 43c | 110.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Luleaa | 36c | 92.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Luleaa | 76c | 91.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Skellefteaa | 20c | 81.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Luleaa | 68c | 64.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Skellefteaa | 24c | 62.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Luleaa | 48c | 57.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…7816backed Skellefteaa | 47c | 50.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Luleaa | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Skellefteaa | 51c | 37.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Skellefteaa | 60c | 32.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Luleaa | 55c | 30.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked Luleaa | 57c | 30.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…72d6backed Luleaa | 40c | 30.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85aa…ffdbbacked Luleaa | 62c | 29.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luleaa | 52c | 28.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Skellefteaa | 43c | 27.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Skellefteaa | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…5f86backed Skellefteaa | 59c | 16.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.