Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac56fe07a5761c2e4f859854f162a4b9b939e2e5fb7c2d252cd0dd78bd3f7db9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, Team Secret
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed Team Secret | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.61 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Secret | 50c | 2,636$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.04 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Secret | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.66 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed T1 | 49c | 901.07$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked T1 | 48c | 875.18$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.38 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed T1 | 50c | 761.66$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.42 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Secret | 48c | 632.1$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.41 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Secret | 49c | 604.73$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.32 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…5b4bbacked T1 | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed T1 | 45c | 516$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked T1 | 47c | 503.89$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.06 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed T1 | 51c | 501$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.49 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked T1 | 47c | 455.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.67 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked T1 | 48c | 411.02$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.94 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8479backed T1 | 51c | 391.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.64 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…3ca3backed T1 | 52c | 385.96$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.37 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked T1 | 47c | 337.94$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.94 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…5e0abacked T1 | 52c | 290$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed T1 | 50c | 278.44$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.36 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Team Secret | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed T1 | 51c | 251.52$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…9dc5backed Team Secret | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed T1 | 49c | 248.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.98 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Team Secret | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed T1 | 45c | 220.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.88 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed T1 | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Team Secret | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed T1 | 54c | 209$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked T1 | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed T1 | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Secret | 35c | 159.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…efa7backed T1 | 47c | 158$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Secret | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Secret | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Team Secret | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked T1 | 55c | 137.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Team Secret | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed T1 | 47c | 119.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…e430backed Team Secret | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7adb…221ebacked Team Secret | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked T1 | 46c | 102.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked T1 | 66c | 80.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed T1 | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed T1 | 65c | 74.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team Secret | 46c | 67.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Team Secret | 52c | 61.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked T1 | 56c | 60.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed T1 | 44c | 56.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Team Secret | 54c | 55.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafff…e85fbacked Team Secret | 54c | 50.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked T1 | 46c | 45.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed T1 | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed T1 | 51c | 34.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Team Secret | 50c | 30.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Secret | 44c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0aa…7a60backed T1 | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked T1 | 56c | 26.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-4.5) vs Team Secret (+4.5)T1 won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaT1 won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 - Map 1 WinnerT1 won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 - Map 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.