Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d0d09c2e54b0b1323a256b0b65af08930dce78273945ece2d541a9d23149be9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of Team Secret, T1
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Secret | 34c | 1,463$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed T1 | 66c | 751.18$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.4 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed T1 | 78c | 743.89$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.36 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked T1 | 67c | 458.72$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Secret | 28c | 399.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Secret | 25c | 315$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Team Secret | 27c | 222.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Team Secret | 22c | 182.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Team Secret | 26c | 173.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Team Secret | 24c | 126.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…ed08backed Team Secret | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Secret | 27c | 116.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed T1 | 64c | 107.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Secret | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Secret | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Secret | 12c | 89.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Team Secret | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed T1 | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed T1 | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed T1 | 80c | 59.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Team Secret | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Team Secret | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked T1 | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked T1 | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-4.5) vs Team Secret (+4.5)T1 won
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)T1 won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaT1 won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 - Map 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.