Tennis · resolved market
Braunschweig: Facundo Acosta vs Niels McDonald
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac5c3e1500279ec23ace8a0879bc295e883f1aaf7f98b93cbe54069632261283
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Facundo Acostaof Facundo Acosta, Niels McDonald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Niels McDonald | 2c | 4,999$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Niels McDonald | 3c | 2,859$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…4edabacked Niels McDonald | 1c | 1,483$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…f07abacked Niels McDonald | 8c | 1,188$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Niels McDonald | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Niels McDonald | 21c | 499.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Facundo Acosta | 79c | 427.6$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Niels McDonald | 19c | 293.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Niels McDonald | 19c | 290.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Niels McDonald | 19c | 253.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Niels McDonald | 19c | 219.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Niels McDonald | 10c | 214.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Niels McDonald | 20c | 190.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Facundo Acosta | 80c | 136.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Niels McDonald | 15c | 117.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Niels McDonald | 19c | 107.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Niels McDonald | 20c | 97.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Niels McDonald | 16c | 91.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Niels McDonald | 19c | 66.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Niels McDonald | 17c | 62.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Niels McDonald | 22c | 61.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Facundo Acosta | 78c | 46.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Facundo Acosta | 79c | 32.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Facundo Acosta | 78c | 20.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Facundo Acosta | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Facundo Acosta | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.