Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. New Mexico State Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadba283ac7ffae6eabdd04be6cf0ea89ed8b27670ad0e2e9e07ec1df469b144a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersof Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, New Mexico State Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 61c | 1,181$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.67 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 26c | 1,173$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.31 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 38c | 1,120$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.4 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New Mexico State Aggies | 19c | 967$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.71 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 38c | 852.6$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.61 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 39c | 814$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.54 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New Mexico State Aggies | 75c | 722.96$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.54 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed New Mexico State Aggies | 62c | 656$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.71 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed New Mexico State Aggies | 65c | 656$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.4 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 16c | 607.66$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.65 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 36c | 596.8$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.95 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 61c | 595.08$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 39c | 259.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 63c | 213.17$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.85 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 36c | 190$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 22c | 187.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.45 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 32c | 182$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 67c | 167.7$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.62 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed New Mexico State Aggies | 61c | 132.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed New Mexico State Aggies | 28c | 124.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 37c | 97.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 50c | 60.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 39c | 57.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 31c | 51.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 38c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 38c | 33.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 63c | 30.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. New Mexico State Aggiesthis page
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. New Mexico State Aggies: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: New Mexico State Aggies (-3.5)Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won
- Spread: New Mexico State Aggies (-4.5)Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.