Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Kristina Penickova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae2396ab247f04300231b16beded8083eaa014c0891d506fb146232c9a7d9aeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kristina Penickovaof Elizabeth Mandlik, Kristina Penickova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 37c | 2,899$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.96 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kristina Penickova | 53c | 2,295$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.61 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Kristina Penickova | 23c | 2,031$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.24 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 75c | 1,968$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.67 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kristina Penickova | 25c | 1,480$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.79 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 17c | 1,117$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.22 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 41c | 937.5$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.38 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 6c | 895.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 73c | 799.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Kristina Penickova | 27c | 722.66$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.16 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 59c | 459.59$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.45 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kristina Penickova | 47c | 437.5$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.2 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kristina Penickova | 58c | 315.55$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 79c | 309.43$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Kristina Penickova | 61c | 301.85$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 7c | 283.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 75c | 282.69$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.99 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 48c | 243.75$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.24 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 26c | 227$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kristina Penickova | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked Kristina Penickova | 21c | 189.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.51 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kristina Penickova | 21c | 186.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.12 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 79c | 179.04$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…3f07backed Kristina Penickova | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Kristina Penickova | 18c | 144.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 9c | 108.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 242 | 31%75 W · 167 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 53c | 97.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…8b7dbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 268 | 37.3%100 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 80c | 55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Kristina Penickova | 22c | 45.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Kristina Penickova | 54c | 45.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…a898backed Kristina Penickova | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Kristina Penickova | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 38.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Kristina Penickova | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 353 | 57.2%202 W · 151 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Kristina Penickova | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Kristina Penickova | 33c | 30.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Kristina Penickova | 54c | 27.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 71c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Kristina Penickova | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…e9f6backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…e94abacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…e949backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 78c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.