MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae88e2ee36b54b3a7fcc447cd7d847dd54292547db251c0b25c2190049f8250a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Giants, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cardinals | 49c | 158,428$77,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,091.76 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants | 51c | 32,500$16,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,700 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 51c | 28,738$14,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,656.14 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Giants | 51c | 22,000$11,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,220 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Giants | 51c | 19,104$9,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,742.86 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Giants | 52c | 16,666$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,599.66 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Giants | 55c | 16,278$8,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,889.33 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Giants | 55c | 15,227$8,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,402 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Cardinals | 43c | 13,101$5,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,492.74 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 51c | 13,045$6,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,653.05 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cardinals | 45c | 12,135$5,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.43 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 48c | 8,304$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317.92 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Giants | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 55c | 4,752$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.15 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 47c | 4,080$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.58 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 52c | 2,889$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Giants | 52c | 2,859$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.81 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cardinals | 36c | 2,415$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Giants | 52c | 2,299$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.49 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Giants | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Giants | 56c | 1,686$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.37 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cardinals | 45c | 1,509$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 49c | 1,477$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.03 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Giants | 71c | 1,179$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.27 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Cardinals | 45c | 1,003$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Giants | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Giants | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 46c | 863.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.66 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 46c | 799.99$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giants | 51c | 784$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 55c | 727$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.85 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cardinals | 36c | 725.77$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.3 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Giants | 51c | 573.4$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.43 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 43c | 562.81$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Giants | 53c | 511.22$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.6 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Giants | 53c | 510$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Giants | 69c | 507.25$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 62c | 492$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.52 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Giants | 54c | 481.04$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.76 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Giants | 50c | 476.04$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.02 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Giants | 56c | 467.39$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.39 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 45c | 445$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.55 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Cardinals | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Cardinals | 47c | 385$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.08 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Giants | 51c | 379.41$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Giants | 49c | 353$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.97 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cardinals | 46c | 352$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Giants | 54c | 314.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1451…2915backed Cardinals | 48c | 301.69$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.88 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Giants | 53c | 285.49$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.31 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Giants | 52c | 272.76$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 48c | 269.92$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.36 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Cardinals | 13c | 237.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.28 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Giants | 53c | 237.79$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.03 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 41c | 225.75$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.78 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 21c | 221.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.32 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…5fc9backed Giants | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Giants | 54c | 209.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Giants | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Giants | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…1a3abacked Giants | 50c | 188.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Giants | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals | 48c | 187.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Giants | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Giants | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Giants | 49c | 152$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Giants | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Giants | 55c | 145$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Giants | 54c | 141.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…6871backed Giants | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30b6…0d6dbacked Giants | 49c | 102.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Giants | 66c | 100.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cardinals | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Giants | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21a…53f7backed Giants | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Cardinals | 47c | 85.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Giants | 53c | 78.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Giants | 61c | 73.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cardinals | 51c | 72.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Giants | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Cardinals | 48c | 64.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Giants | 52c | 60.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Giants | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Cardinals | 46c | 57.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cardinals | 49c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…d967backed Giants | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Giants | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Cardinals | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Giants | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8212backed Giants | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Giants | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Giants | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Giants | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…113dbacked Cardinals | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Giants vs. Cardinalsthis page
- Giants vs. Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.