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Golf · resolved market

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 BMW Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,205
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,205 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc693…72dbbacked Yes6c10,000$600 inLost-$6001811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-71.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes3c10,000$300 inLost-$3004910.2%5 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-77.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Yes5c8,814$472 inLost-$471.79120%0 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c32…325bbacked Yes25c7,532$1,918 inLost-$1,917.841513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-72.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No77c6,263$4,795 inWon+$1,467.75151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Yes14c4,516$650 inLost-$6502114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Yes4c3,817$153 inLost-$153.086414.1%9 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf8…eab1backed Yes9c3,200$275 inLost-$275333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No75c1,927$1,444 inWon+$483.586543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc6…53f7backed Yes26c948.6$245 inLost-$244.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Yes6c838.59$50 inLost-$504314%6 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-35.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes2c835$15 inLost-$14.921127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc68c…2936backed Yes8c507.38$40 inLost-$401216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No80c439.01$351 inWon+$87.87441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Yes22c430.3$95 inLost-$94.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No78c379.01$296 inWon+$83.38850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No75c227.7$171 inWon+$56.835527.3%15 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed No78c227.29$178 inWon+$49.381471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No74c161$119 inWon+$41.86540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-46.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabcd…b4c5backed Yes24c103.67$25 inLost-$24.69333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed No76c84.67$64 inWon+$20.32862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e10…44b7backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost-$152317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3ae…d117backed No75c59.62$45 inWon+$14.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+165.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No79c40.01$32 inWon+$8.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed No77c38$29 inWon+$8.74714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-81.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.