Golf · resolved market
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 BMW Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32e3196b7e00ed9751f87666a1be36d25f4c894cfcbc438488529e3ecb727eb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cb…ad46backed Yes | 7c | 4,965$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.12 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 66c | 4,932$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Yes | 18c | 4,185$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…8d01backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…c3c0backed Yes | 13c | 1,941$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.58 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 15c | 1,890$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…4271backed Yes | 42c | 1,834$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 48c | 1,808$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.39 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 1,741$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.43 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…c11abacked Yes | 8c | 1,388$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4312backed Yes | 8c | 1,184$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,020$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 69c | 941.39$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.43 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 39c | 931.49$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.94 | 257 | 49.4%127 W · 130 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1c…7c29backed Yes | 13c | 920$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…d68fbacked Yes | 15c | 724.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 73c | 718.9$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 76c | 681.79$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.9 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Yes | 53c | 676.69$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Yes | 9c | 570$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked No | 46c | 555.89$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.03 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…91bdbacked Yes | 14c | 516$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 12c | 420$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…be60backed Yes | 14c | 403.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…f1f9backed Yes | 43c | 337.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…3be4backed Yes | 19c | 258.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Yes | 18c | 231.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +78%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb993…61febacked Yes | 24c | 199$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…9811backed Yes | 63c | 174.35$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 83 | 19.3%16 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 75c | 155.26$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4617…c683backed Yes | 56c | 124.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +196.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…4575backed Yes | 20c | 100.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…2bb3backed Yes | 22c | 97.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 61c | 81.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b10…ffd3backed Yes | 51c | 76.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f5…24adbacked Yes | 61c | 67.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…65ffbacked Yes | 17c | 67.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Yes | 31c | 64.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Yes | 52c | 38.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 73c | 37.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +11.0wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 61c | 30.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 BMW Championship?this page
- Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Cameron Young win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Justin Rose win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Ryo Hisatsune win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Sam Burns win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 BMW Championship?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.