Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Furman Paladins vs. The Citadel Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaedc9584658ba00765765c34062d21266a3fa5b11c5ae55850e540cf5ef44523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Citadel Bulldogsof Furman Paladins, The Citadel Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Furman Paladins | 66c | 1,962$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4dd7backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 45c | 1,824$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Furman Paladins | 1c | 1,309$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 22c | 1,095$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.28 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Furman Paladins | 74c | 790.22$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.83 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Furman Paladins | 57c | 656.95$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.96 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 16c | 569.92$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.74 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…6527backed Furman Paladins | 62c | 361.14$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 38c | 306$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.46 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 63c | 215.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 15c | 199.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…2ecabacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 32c | 186.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.31 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Furman Paladins | 37c | 177.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 17c | 175.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.07 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Furman Paladins | 79c | 165.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.79 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Furman Paladins | 56c | 147.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Furman Paladins | 74c | 141$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Furman Paladins | 64c | 96.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Furman Paladins | 35c | 84.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Furman Paladins | 60c | 83.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Furman Paladins | 23c | 78.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 19c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 31c | 49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Furman Paladins | 71c | 47.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 29c | 37.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad66…a97fbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 40c | 33.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Furman Paladins | 70c | 29.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…ade8backed Furman Paladins | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Furman Paladins | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Furman Paladins | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Furman Paladins vs. The Citadel Bulldogsthis page
- Furman Paladins vs. The Citadel Bulldogs: O/U 140.5Over won
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-10.5)The Citadel Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.