Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaee0bca86e3ebeaa50e6083028d4a6bb066e2dd4d7c44252946ccab7819895a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof Paper Rex, Nongshim RedForce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0188…91babacked Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 5,959$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.03 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nongshim RedForce | 48c | 2,571$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.95 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Paper Rex | 49c | 2,201$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.23 | 604 | 23%139 W · 465 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628f…b212backed Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 1,378$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.18 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Paper Rex | 64c | 1,041$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.3 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -15.6wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Paper Rex | 40c | 1,002$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.94 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Paper Rex | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 524 | 55.2%289 W · 235 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Nongshim RedForce | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Paper Rex | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Paper Rex | 47c | 874.99$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.95 | 818 | 34.8%285 W · 533 L | -61.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed Paper Rex | 54c | 854.8$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Paper Rex | 51c | 821.11$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.77 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Paper Rex | 54c | 776.14$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.11 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…7ed6backed Paper Rex | 61c | 598$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…c6e0backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 597.41$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.79 | 108 | 59.3%64 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Paper Rex | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 565 | 57.7%326 W · 239 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…3338backed Paper Rex | 30c | 497$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Paper Rex | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 537 | 42.1%226 W · 311 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Nongshim RedForce | 46c | 381.12$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.89 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Paper Rex | 37c | 350.75$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Paper Rex | 49c | 333$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Paper Rex | 53c | 327$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.23 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28fd…bee1backed Nongshim RedForce | 47c | 319.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Paper Rex | 53c | 310.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Paper Rex | 41c | 306.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 893 | 44.3%396 W · 497 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 46c | 292.54$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.22 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Nongshim RedForce | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 348 | 53.7%187 W · 161 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Paper Rex | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Nongshim RedForce | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 226 | 49.1%111 W · 115 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Paper Rex | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 434 | 59.2%257 W · 177 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Paper Rex | 36c | 199.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nongshim RedForce | 36c | 186.26$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.21 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed Paper Rex | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 46c | 178$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 393 | 50.9%200 W · 193 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Nongshim RedForce | 77c | 155$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 86 | 81.4%70 W · 16 L | +10.4wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Paper Rex | 54c | 138.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Paper Rex | 54c | 128.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Nongshim RedForce | 67c | 127.48$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Paper Rex | 53c | 123.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 403 | 45.9%185 W · 218 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6572…ee63backed Paper Rex | 49c | 102.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Paper Rex | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Paper Rex | 39c | 95.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Paper Rex | 35c | 87.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 969 | 45%436 W · 533 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Paper Rex | 34c | 84.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Nongshim RedForce | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Paper Rex | 40c | 64.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 65c | 61.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 783 | 44.1%345 W · 438 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…202abacked Paper Rex | 55c | 56.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -10.3wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Nongshim RedForce | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 256 | 45.3%116 W · 140 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…b1d2backed Paper Rex | 51c | 45.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 41.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Paper Rex | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 913 | 33.2%303 W · 610 L | -89.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed Nongshim RedForce | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…9223backed Nongshim RedForce | 66c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935c…8437backed Paper Rex | 45c | 39.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Paper Rex | 55c | 38.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 467 | 46.7%218 W · 249 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Paper Rex | 53c | 38.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…f3c8backed Nongshim RedForce | 70c | 32.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Paper Rex | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…d5dfbacked Paper Rex | 54c | 22.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…92b5backed Nongshim RedForce | 72c | 20.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b81…613dbacked Paper Rex | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -8.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 326 | 57.4%187 W · 139 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…a760backed Paper Rex | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…5efabacked Nongshim RedForce | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.