NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf0392e1b05650ea371c20a90c16092780476577d5942e0290b5b07467ad099d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Blue Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 55c | 14,410$7,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.96 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 6,100$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.94 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blue Jackets | 45c | 5,025$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.23 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…43eabacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…4b6abacked Avalanche | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Blue Jackets | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blue Jackets | 45c | 2,955$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.84 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…b291backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 2,732$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Blue Jackets | 46c | 2,261$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…a686backed Avalanche | 54c | 2,057$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Avalanche | 54c | 2,011$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed Avalanche | 54c | 1,996$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Avalanche | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blue Jackets | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.79 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche | 54c | 1,567$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.61 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 1,551$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.13 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blue Jackets | 45c | 1,102$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.29 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 1,071$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Avalanche | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Avalanche | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 739.48$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.58 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Avalanche | 52c | 622.5$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.8 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Avalanche | 53c | 572.73$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.73 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Avalanche | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 542$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.32 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Avalanche | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 320$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Avalanche | 54c | 291.87$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Avalanche | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Avalanche | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blue Jackets | 45c | 198.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 54c | 186.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Avalanche | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Avalanche | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Avalanche | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…f6c3backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 114.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Avalanche | 54c | 107$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Avalanche | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Avalanche | 54c | 95.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Avalanche | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Avalanche | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked Avalanche | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed Avalanche | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Avalanche | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Avalanche | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Avalanche | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Avalanche | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Blue Jackets | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Blue Jackets | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Avalanche | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Avalanche | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Avalanche | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ce…ba12backed Avalanche | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Blue Jackets | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blue Jackets | 42c | 40.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Avalanche | 56c | 40.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Blue Jackets | 44c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Avalanche | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Blue Jackets | 45c | 33.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Blue Jackets | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 54c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Avalanche | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Avalanche | 56c | 24.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…d51fbacked Avalanche | 54c | 23.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52b…a76fbacked Avalanche | 55c | 23.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Blue Jackets vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Blue Jackets vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.