NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe84360cee1db7ec8c1dc1f30d169f7c7b2288c6273cf4e541ef5a9cbc9552265
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 57c | 20,107$11,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,460.98 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 43c | 14,256$6,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,127.24 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 57c | 6,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 5,464$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,131.54 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 57c | 5,410$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.7 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Under | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 2,797$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.69 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 57c | 2,671$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.49 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 43c | 2,200$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 43c | 1,666$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.71 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 54c | 1,480$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.33 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 59c | 1,282$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.1 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 60c | 1,001$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.13 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…9912backed Under | 44c | 950$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 55c | 749.33$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.53 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 715.81$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.92 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 43c | 701.7$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.97 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Under | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 599$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.46 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 40c | 549.5$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.7 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 57c | 500.98$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.82 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 44c | 460$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 43c | 438$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.66 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 407$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 56c | 405.36$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.06 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…f55abacked Under | 44c | 391.27$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 50c | 274.8$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 270$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Over | 56c | 249.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 43c | 231.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…7511backed Over | 59c | 215.2$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.97 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 210.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 45c | 209.4$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 43c | 175$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 43c | 148.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd80…eb96backed Under | 42c | 145.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.63 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 41c | 111.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1271…a720backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 54c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 39c | 29.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 59c | 26.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 59c | 23.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 59c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 57c | 19.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Blue Jackets vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.