Tennis · resolved market
Morelos: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf6c5c8b0f929189b5c0266629aa379b9aa02619ae1cac8a3a5735ca0b6e9e5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andres Andradeof Aidan Mayo, Andres Andrade
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,489 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Andres Andrade | 77c | 2,863$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.39 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Aidan Mayo | 28c | 2,349$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.68 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Andres Andrade | 67c | 1,657$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.58 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Aidan Mayo | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Aidan Mayo | 23c | 799.74$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.21 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Andres Andrade | 76c | 691.24$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.79 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Aidan Mayo | 33c | 650$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Andres Andrade | 63c | 613.31$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed Aidan Mayo | 18c | 550$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…a9cabacked Aidan Mayo | 33c | 465.8$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Aidan Mayo | 31c | 456.14$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aidan Mayo | 36c | 444.41$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Aidan Mayo | 17c | 398.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Aidan Mayo | 34c | 337$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Aidan Mayo | 23c | 298.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Andres Andrade | 69c | 290$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…7542backed Andres Andrade | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Aidan Mayo | 34c | 256.01$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Aidan Mayo | 32c | 201.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Aidan Mayo | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Aidan Mayo | 22c | 177.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Aidan Mayo | 34c | 169.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Aidan Mayo | 20c | 167.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Aidan Mayo | 30c | 162.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Aidan Mayo | 33c | 146$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Aidan Mayo | 34c | 142.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Andres Andrade | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Aidan Mayo | 32c | 126.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Aidan Mayo | 22c | 122.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Andres Andrade | 67c | 122.25$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Andres Andrade | 66c | 119.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Andres Andrade | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Aidan Mayo | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Aidan Mayo | 26c | 90.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Aidan Mayo | 32c | 90.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Aidan Mayo | 34c | 84.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aidan Mayo | 31c | 82.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Andres Andrade | 77c | 81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Aidan Mayo | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Andres Andrade | 66c | 76.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Andres Andrade | 65c | 76.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…6b6ebacked Aidan Mayo | 20c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…cac5backed Aidan Mayo | 37c | 68.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Aidan Mayo | 34c | 65.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Andres Andrade | 73c | 64.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Aidan Mayo | 33c | 63.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 151 | 63.6%96 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Aidan Mayo | 24c | 61.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Aidan Mayo | 30c | 60.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Andres Andrade | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Aidan Mayo | 17c | 57.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Andres Andrade | 72c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Andres Andrade | 69c | 55.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Andres Andrade | 65c | 54.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Andres Andrade | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Andres Andrade | 69c | 48.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Andres Andrade | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Andres Andrade | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Andres Andrade | 78c | 38.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 168 | 70.8%119 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc332…59a9backed Andres Andrade | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Andres Andrade | 66c | 31.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…a447backed Andres Andrade | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Andres Andrade | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Andres Andrade | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Andres Andrade | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Andres Andrade | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Andres Andrade | 63c | 16.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Andres Andrade | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Andres Andrade | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morelos: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andradethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Mayo vs AndradeAndrade won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.