Tennis · resolved market
ITF Guimaraes: Manon Leonard vs Ana Sofia Sanchez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb079b4d2f53973c69aa3705a4ca4fd83752464d19c01fdf6eaa87bd4d80efc0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manon Leonardof Manon Leonard, Ana Sofia Sanchez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Manon Leonard | 62c | 3,562$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.75 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Ana Sofia Sanchez | 39c | 2,942$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.2 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Manon Leonard | 62c | 670.57$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.64 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 38c | 599.98$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ana Sofia Sanchez | 42c | 499.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.07 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 24c | 351.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 24c | 303.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 15c | 276.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 41c | 248.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Manon Leonard | 66c | 222.01$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Manon Leonard | 78c | 217.05$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 27c | 202.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 40c | 198.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Manon Leonard | 57c | 174.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Manon Leonard | 74c | 134.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Manon Leonard | 78c | 120.55$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 22c | 118.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Manon Leonard | 61c | 107.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Manon Leonard | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ana Sofia Sanchez | 16c | 83.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 40c | 81.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Manon Leonard | 61c | 80.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Manon Leonard | 57c | 67.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 25c | 52.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Manon Leonard | 78c | 46.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Manon Leonard | 51c | 41.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ana Sofia Sanchez | 46c | 36.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Manon Leonard | 55c | 36.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa1…f1e6backed Manon Leonard | 63c | 35.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Manon Leonard | 54c | 27.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Manon Leonard | 61c | 22.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Manon Leonard | 68c | 19.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.