TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Blue Jays vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,611

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,922 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf980…6528backed Blue Jays44c22,396$9,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,522.2111746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Blue Jays46c20,594$9,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,120.6527948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rangers54c20,012$10,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,806.4824553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers55c6,218$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.9698149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3339…48a5backed Blue Jays53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Rangers56c5,783$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,234.4821356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers54c5,086$2,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,730.731,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers54c5,043$2,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,708.149,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers55c4,650$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.462,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Rangers56c4,628$2,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,590.5128447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers56c4,187$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.921,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers38c3,950$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.122,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdec3…40acbacked Blue Jays45c3,105$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Blue Jays48c2,531$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.3916151.6%83 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rangers56c2,236$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.2697950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Blue Jays48c2,021$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.569249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf90d…0b4dbacked Blue Jays46c2,021$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.32231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Blue Jays45c1,813$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.1543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blue Jays43c1,632$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.0641850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2016…b4bebacked Rangers52c1,394$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.71050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rangers56c1,301$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.0276456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc80f…7bc7backed Rangers60c1,300$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8092…da08backed Blue Jays40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa342…222fbacked Blue Jays40c1,050$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5205…492dbacked Rangers60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Rangers55c954$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.779740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers56c900$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50168656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rangers54c887.22$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.188549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff1f…d5dfbacked Blue Jays45c881$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.55955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…838fbacked Rangers55c881$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.551553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays44c843.55$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.391,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers48c830.14$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39586751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers57c820.84$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.8733349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rangers52c786.54$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.140547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa21c…5836backed Rangers55c708.55$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays54c704$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.131,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…71bcbacked Blue Jays47c631.43$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.661233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rangers7c583.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Rangers56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007650%38 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays45c499.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27593240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Blue Jays46c469.18$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.6414047.9%67 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rangers56c464.73$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.255,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Blue Jays57c457.47$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7111446.5%53 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Blue Jays45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4491749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c0…ae94backed Rangers54c397.57$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6930%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Rangers55c394.51$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.9811058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Blue Jays51c306.26$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.861442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Rangers58c299.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.992835.7%10 W · 18 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Blue Jays44c298.02$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.37841%32 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rangers53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Rangers52c269.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14028453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Blue Jays58c252.17$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8224751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Rangers50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x944a…a9adbacked Blue Jays41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.93630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0512…6f17backed Blue Jays41c242.89$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.22944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Rangers56c240.79$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8418449.5%91 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6f…0142backed Rangers55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012549.6%62 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Blue Jays47c212.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9839436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7795930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked Rangers57c212.68$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.232941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Blue Jays49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.087042.9%30 W · 40 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Rangers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9025835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x399d…01dabacked Rangers56c200$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11311757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rangers43c179.07$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Rangers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Rangers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jays40c176.83$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.160249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9938…c7e8backed Blue Jays41c172.8$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9510858.3%63 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Rangers56c153.08$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8519233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Rangers51c147.39$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.173141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Rangers54c147.25$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8052542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Rangers56c146.7$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1514654.8%80 W · 66 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Rangers56c140.81$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.484742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf53…ffecbacked Blue Jays42c128.6$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Blue Jays45c127.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2785047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c20…0a7ebacked Blue Jays45c126.67$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Rangers55c125.45$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6921853.2%116 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd43e…d04ebacked Blue Jays43c115.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rangers55c114.55$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7cd…7a8bbacked Blue Jays42c112.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blue Jays55c108.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1963942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Blue Jays49c106.12$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1216055.6%89 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Rangers56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5692754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Rangers55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers59c99.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Rangers56c98.38$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513254.5%72 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1559…6126backed Rangers61c89.15$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d78…290fbacked Blue Jays41c88.95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb97…937dbacked Rangers60c88.48$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92f…c50dbacked Blue Jays42c84.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc067…c09dbacked Rangers60c84.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d9e…8393backed Rangers61c84.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+56.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers54c81.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.471,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb111…d300backed Rangers60c79.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7b…d9b2backed Rangers60c76.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2873…e190backed Rangers60c75.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.