Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb084d047931b16de197252361b079b6c6257d6ed72c132317e99cf1b601ab4fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Nemiga Gaming, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 511.4$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.67 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 381.83$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.61 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 361.16$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.83 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 336.56$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.84 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 264.02$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.03 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…2779backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 241.42$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 201.08$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 196.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 190.74$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 161.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 143.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 107.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 107.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 104.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Rune Eaters | 15c | 94.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973a…52eabacked Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 82.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…1a19backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 70.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 67.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 64.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 49.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…a5a2backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 48.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…53acbacked Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Rune Eaters | 26c | 41.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Rune Eaters | 55c | 38.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 35.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 31.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 29.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca46…cedbbacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 28.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 27.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 105 | 71.4%75 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…294abacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 27.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…c572backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 27.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 26.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 25.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 24.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…6821backed Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.