Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb09262dd9412072de2c0434607af80023ff1f6242d7f8126a527c03de18990ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 50c | 5,015$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.28 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 4,090$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.11 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 50c | 3,465$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.65 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 3,404$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.23 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 40c | 2,474$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.4 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 2,187$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.53 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 76c | 1,064$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.31 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Under | 54c | 900$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…a91ebacked Under | 50c | 552$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 48c | 515$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.8 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 44c | 479.31$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.31 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 3c | 412.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Over | 60c | 409$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 49c | 408.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.9 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 66c | 397.94$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 48c | 200.74$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 177.06$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 76c | 160$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 147.74$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 742 | 56.9%422 W · 320 L | +46.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…c024backed Over | 47c | 135$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 133$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 52c | 123.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 257 | 50.2%129 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 54c | 89.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 59c | 69.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 57c | 68.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 58c | 62.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 56c | 57.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 79c | 44.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +43%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 38c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 49c | 41.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 53c | 39.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Over | 58c | 32.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 59c | 31.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 50c | 31.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b0…2fcdbacked Over | 62c | 30.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e8…890fbacked Over | 67c | 28.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…040cbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 71c | 26.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 56c | 24.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked Under | 61c | 20.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hull City AFC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.