Tennis · resolved market
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Hernan Casanova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb11e6c520ac846913fc0670908032ac42be56edf79dc52cbf587b0994bb03fce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hernan Casanovaof Felipe Meligeni Alves, Hernan Casanova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x658e…d758backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 31c | 7,625$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.58 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hernan Casanova | 58c | 6,920$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.38 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Hernan Casanova | 69c | 2,265$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.12 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 68c | 2,100$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.45 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 18c | 1,883$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.88 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hernan Casanova | 41c | 1,505$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.63 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Hernan Casanova | 62c | 1,324$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.58 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Hernan Casanova | 78c | 1,251$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.37 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hernan Casanova | 40c | 749.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.96 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 59c | 590.34$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.3 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 59c | 500.48$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.21 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hernan Casanova | 41c | 478.27$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.18 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 54c | 462.44$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.78 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 21c | 399.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Hernan Casanova | 41c | 316.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.35 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 33c | 298.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Hernan Casanova | 76c | 296.11$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 19c | 246.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…4c8abacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 60c | 243.75$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 63c | 210.74$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 59c | 201$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.59 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 53c | 200.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…819bbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 59c | 169$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Hernan Casanova | 75c | 163$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Hernan Casanova | 69c | 147.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 59c | 130$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Hernan Casanova | 44c | 125.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3d67backed Hernan Casanova | 79c | 124.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 64c | 99.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 48c | 94.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…a83abacked Hernan Casanova | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Hernan Casanova | 44c | 92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Hernan Casanova | 55c | 90.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Hernan Casanova | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Hernan Casanova | 67c | 66.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 33c | 64.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 39c | 62.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 62c | 62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 50c | 52.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 61c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Hernan Casanova | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 59c | 48.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 52c | 40.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Hernan Casanova | 32c | 39.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 45c | 37.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Hernan Casanova | 67c | 35.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 61c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 51c | 29.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Hernan Casanova | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Hernan Casanova | 68c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Hernan Casanova | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 57c | 27.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 58c | 23.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hernan Casanova | 74c | 22.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Hernan Casanova | 69c | 21.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.