TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Florida Gators vs. Texas A&M Aggies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Florida Gatorsof Florida Gators, Texas A&M Aggies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida Gators68c2,114$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.62,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Florida Gators74c1,784$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.543,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Texas A&M Aggies32c986.37$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.761,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Florida Gators70c872.55$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.777038.6%27 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Florida Gators71c848$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.11,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Florida Gators75c794.98$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.735,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Texas A&M Aggies31c777$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8725946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Texas A&M Aggies28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Texas A&M Aggies32c700$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22456444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Texas A&M Aggies31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Texas A&M Aggies28c500$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Texas A&M Aggies30c499.63$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.181453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd2a4…caf5backed Texas A&M Aggies4c486.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207020%14 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Texas A&M Aggies29c394.79$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b35…747cbacked Florida Gators72c345$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Texas A&M Aggies19c312$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.752,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Texas A&M Aggies32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9682048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Texas A&M Aggies31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.521050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Florida Gators77c205.5$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.665,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Florida Gators77c124.12$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Texas A&M Aggies32c121.88$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3941554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ad…8b71backed Texas A&M Aggies35c119.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428940.4%36 W · 53 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b1a…7ddebacked Florida Gators70c114.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.534450%22 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Florida Gators65c105.6$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.961,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas A&M Aggies17c100.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.511,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Texas A&M Aggies28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Texas A&M Aggies30c97.66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.389146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Texas A&M Aggies18c91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3814643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Florida Gators72c83.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.334,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Texas A&M Aggies30c77.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Texas A&M Aggies29c68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7238345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Texas A&M Aggies27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.22,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fea8backed Florida Gators69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.484658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f7f…8c81backed Texas A&M Aggies28c39.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Florida Gators78c39.03$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3987047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Texas A&M Aggies32c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.691,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida Gators74c31.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.374,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Florida Gators69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.396657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf6…0edfbacked Florida Gators70c25.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.711070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Florida Gators74c20.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3813550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Florida Gators64c20.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.351,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Florida Gators69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.252353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Florida Gators69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.653100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.