Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida Gators (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3e202928537479589f78a6d0ff532801b6d9af003cb749e727c02cec5d0a257
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gatorsof Florida Gators, Texas A&M Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Florida Gators | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 53c | 3,783$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Texas A&M Aggies | 54c | 2,433$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.77 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Texas A&M Aggies | 54c | 2,433$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.76 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Florida Gators | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Texas A&M Aggies | 53c | 1,161$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.32 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Florida Gators | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida Gators | 47c | 1,048$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.42 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 53c | 1,027$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida Gators | 47c | 1,007$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida Gators | 46c | 834$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.56 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Florida Gators | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Florida Gators | 46c | 398.16$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.97 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked Florida Gators | 46c | 219.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Florida Gators | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Florida Gators | 46c | 114.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Texas A&M Aggies | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…bf5dbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Florida Gators | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Texas A&M Aggies | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Florida Gators | 47c | 58.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Florida Gators | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…2157backed Texas A&M Aggies | 54c | 32.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Florida Gators | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Gators (-6.5)this page
- Florida Gators vs. Texas A&M AggiesFlorida Gators won
- Florida Gators vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 168.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.