Tennis · resolved market
ITF Louisville: Ozan Baris vs Aleksa Ciric
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1fc605d63024cbc851c9340cda4e226729ba1302fdfe421ddbca3ce0d5a0511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ozan Barisof Ozan Baris, Aleksa Ciric
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aleksa Ciric | 22c | 8,152$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.66 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ozan Baris | 76c | 6,771$5,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.4 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ozan Baris | 76c | 4,477$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.14 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Aleksa Ciric | 30c | 793.33$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aleksa Ciric | 20c | 787.61$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa594…fe78backed Ozan Baris | 76c | 508.26$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aleksa Ciric | 18c | 490.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Aleksa Ciric | 30c | 378$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Aleksa Ciric | 20c | 332.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Aleksa Ciric | 29c | 295$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aleksa Ciric | 16c | 252.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Aleksa Ciric | 15c | 222.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aleksa Ciric | 18c | 214.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Aleksa Ciric | 24c | 187.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Aleksa Ciric | 27c | 187.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Aleksa Ciric | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Aleksa Ciric | 19c | 150.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Aleksa Ciric | 30c | 146.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Aleksa Ciric | 30c | 143.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…ba88backed Aleksa Ciric | 8c | 139.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aleksa Ciric | 18c | 123.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Ozan Baris | 54c | 122.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Aleksa Ciric | 30c | 105.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Aleksa Ciric | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Aleksa Ciric | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Aleksa Ciric | 20c | 87.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Aleksa Ciric | 24c | 76.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ozan Baris | 78c | 74.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Aleksa Ciric | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Aleksa Ciric | 26c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Aleksa Ciric | 21c | 59.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Ozan Baris | 72c | 58.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Ozan Baris | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ozan Baris | 69c | 51.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Aleksa Ciric | 20c | 49.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Ozan Baris | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Ozan Baris | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Ozan Baris | 73c | 15.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Ozan Baris | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…4630backed Ozan Baris | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.