Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Varvara Gracheva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb21e5ac2ea18cc4bfc02a4be8975155e4e39ca22b839d6b5e408c63a84ac9a28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grachevaof Sasnovich, Gracheva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gracheva | 75c | 10,876$8,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.09 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Sasnovich | 23c | 9,632$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.53 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Sasnovich | 19c | 4,239$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.66 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sasnovich | 0c | 3,791$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Sasnovich | 33c | 3,005$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gracheva | 63c | 2,141$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Gracheva | 51c | 1,865$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.28 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Gracheva | 66c | 1,594$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.26 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gracheva | 67c | 1,564$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.8 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Sasnovich | 50c | 1,387$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.6 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Gracheva | 37c | 1,265$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.14 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gracheva | 64c | 1,101$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.86 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Sasnovich | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Sasnovich | 21c | 984.93$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.54 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sasnovich | 33c | 931.72$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.74 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gracheva | 50c | 847.23$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Gracheva | 65c | 766$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.12 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Sasnovich | 54c | 760.3$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.96 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Sasnovich | 65c | 720$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Sasnovich | 52c | 652.69$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sasnovich | 34c | 443.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Sasnovich | 45c | 442.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sasnovich | 62c | 428.36$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.58 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sasnovich | 61c | 419.82$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.17 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Gracheva | 42c | 413.71$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.71 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Sasnovich | 25c | 408$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Gracheva | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Sasnovich | 40c | 326.83$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sasnovich | 28c | 319$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Sasnovich | 66c | 304.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Sasnovich | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Sasnovich | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Gracheva | 46c | 243.56$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.52 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Sasnovich | 54c | 233.56$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sasnovich | 30c | 210.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Gracheva | 56c | 206.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gracheva | 59c | 186.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Gracheva | 38c | 185.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.16 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Sasnovich | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…5622backed Gracheva | 65c | 161.9$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Gracheva | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sasnovich | 39c | 144$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Sasnovich | 9c | 134.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Gracheva | 55c | 132.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gracheva | 77c | 118.21$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Sasnovich | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Gracheva | 46c | 104.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Gracheva | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Sasnovich | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Gracheva | 37c | 99.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Sasnovich | 36c | 79.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…2149backed Sasnovich | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Gracheva | 68c | 62.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Gracheva | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed Sasnovich | 44c | 53.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Sasnovich | 45c | 48.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +7.6wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…61c4backed Gracheva | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Gracheva | 42c | 38.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Sasnovich | 54c | 34.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Gracheva | 38c | 31.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Gracheva | 66c | 27.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45f3…2788backed Sasnovich | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Sasnovich | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d3…43abbacked Gracheva | 62c | 19.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Sasnovich | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea1…f685backed Gracheva | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 68cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.