La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-04-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3045d48549760ca413921805ca01dc6cecf4d9da4c5d5ff0050406e4dac9115
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 2,456$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.04 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 41c | 2,144$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.54 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 1,176$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.55 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 37c | 902.57$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.62 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 37c | 891.86$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.87 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 10c | 888.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 17c | 746.44$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.31 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 677.69$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.94 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 12c | 603.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 49c | 359.09$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.64 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 41c | 244.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 223.5$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.04 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked No | 20c | 221.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +113%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 59c | 212.37$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 66c | 209.01$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 41c | 207.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 198.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.02 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 163.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 63c | 121.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…f467backed No | 16c | 104.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 65c | 97.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 63c | 93.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked No | 15c | 93.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 15c | 92.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 14c | 86.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes | 75c | 80.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 63c | 77.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 63c | 77.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 33c | 72.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 35c | 68.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes | 53c | 51.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 62c | 47.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 38c | 44.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Yes | 35c | 41.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 29c | 38.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 45c | 36.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…9acabacked Yes | 37c | 33.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked Yes | 34c | 31.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x334d…7e45backed No | 45c | 29.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…439fbacked No | 63c | 28.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 37c | 27.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 75c | 26.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 46c | 25.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 63c | 19.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 434 | 39.6%172 W · 262 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 63c | 17.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 63c | 16.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-04-24?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?No won
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-04-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.