Tennis · resolved market
ITF Porto: Mert Alkaya vs Robin Catry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb30d5b23a96c467fc139b24c86ae8116bc10fdc7d6091cf27fe285107029ec72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mert Alkayaof Mert Alkaya, Robin Catry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Robin Catry | 60c | 2,163$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.2 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Mert Alkaya | 45c | 1,788$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.7 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mert Alkaya | 38c | 990.38$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.37 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mert Alkaya | 39c | 987.9$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.79 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Robin Catry | 60c | 869.42$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.65 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Robin Catry | 60c | 847.77$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.91 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Mert Alkaya | 49c | 608.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.47 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Robin Catry | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Robin Catry | 60c | 570$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.33 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Robin Catry | 51c | 409.27$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.73 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Mert Alkaya | 73c | 357.18$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mert Alkaya | 41c | 347.03$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.66 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Mert Alkaya | 61c | 328.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.35 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Mert Alkaya | 61c | 311.48$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.48 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Robin Catry | 60c | 302.47$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.32 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Robin Catry | 51c | 235.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mert Alkaya | 40c | 229.1$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Mert Alkaya | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Mert Alkaya | 66c | 152.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Robin Catry | 60c | 133$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Robin Catry | 55c | 115.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Robin Catry | 59c | 105.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Robin Catry | 60c | 100.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Mert Alkaya | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Mert Alkaya | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…48f7backed Mert Alkaya | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…ba30backed Mert Alkaya | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Mert Alkaya | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Mert Alkaya | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Mert Alkaya | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Mert Alkaya | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Mert Alkaya | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Robin Catry | 51c | 71.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Mert Alkaya | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Mert Alkaya | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Robin Catry | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Robin Catry | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Mert Alkaya | 51c | 54.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Mert Alkaya | 54c | 50.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Robin Catry | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Mert Alkaya | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Robin Catry | 40c | 47.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Mert Alkaya | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Robin Catry | 48c | 40.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Robin Catry | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Robin Catry | 59c | 33.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Robin Catry | 48c | 31.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Mert Alkaya | 71c | 29.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Robin Catry | 51c | 26.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed Robin Catry | 59c | 25.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Robin Catry | 56c | 24.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Mert Alkaya | 71c | 15.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.