Asian League · resolved market
Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3a66120e3f30cd724057ec12dc6fdbfb7f8632c69cbe66cf851558cb2c95249
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 31c | 2,075$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.47 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 71c | 1,134$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.25 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +6.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 68c | 1,046$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.76 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 29c | 811.42$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.31 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 768.26$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.71 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 72c | 557.82$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…2703backed Under | 71c | 200.85$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 71c | 200.54$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 36c | 188.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 68c | 149.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 66c | 122.02$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 30c | 113.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 58c | 54.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 67c | 48.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 33c | 43.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd678…4492backed Over | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 32c | 39.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 37c | 38.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 30c | 36.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 60c | 24.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 62c | 18.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)NEOM SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.